(with Ian Dew-Becker). NBER Working Paper 13840, March 2008
Unresolved Issues in the Rise of American Inequality
(with Ian Dew-Becker). Presented at Brookings Panel on Economic Activity, September 7, 2007
Issues in the Comparison of Welfare Between Europe and the United States
Presented to Bureau of European Policy Advisers, “Change, Innovation and Distribution.” Brussels, December 4, 2007
Future U.S. Productivity Growth: Looking Ahead by Looking Back
Paper presented at Workshop at the Occasion of Angus Maddison’s 80th Birthday, World Economic Performance: Past, Present, and Future, University of Groningen, the Netherlands, October 27, 2006
The Boskin Commission Report: A Retrospective One Decade Later
International Productivity Monitor, Spring 2006, pp. 7-22. NBER Working Paper 12311, June 2006
Where Did the Productivity Growth Go? Inflation Dynamics and the Distribution of Income
(with Ian Dew-Becker). Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 2005, no. 2. pp 67-127
CEPR Discussion Paper 5419, December 2005, and NBER Working Paper 11842, December 2005.
What Caused the Decline in U. S. Business Cycle Volatility?
Presented at Conference on The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle, Reserve Bank of Australia, July 11-12, 2005.
Revised, August 2, 2005.
In Christopher Kent and David Norman, eds.,
The Changing Nature of Business Cycle Volatility. Sydney: Economics Group, Reserve Bank of Australia, pp.
61-104.
CEPR Discussion Paper 5413, December 2005, and NBER Working Paper 11777, November 2005.
Programming Code (RATS)
Data Files (Excel)
The 1920s and the 1990s in Mutual Reflection
Presented to Economic History Conference, Understanding the 1990s: The Long-Term Perspective, Duke University, March 26-27, 2004.
Revised, January 23, 2005.
In Paul Rhode and Gianni Toniolo, eds., Understanding the 1990s
(Cambridge UK and New York, Cambridge Univeristy Press, 2006), pp. 161-92.
CEPR Discussion Paper 5412, December 2005, and NBER Working Paper 11778, November 2005.
A Century of Downward Bias in the Most Important Component of the CPI:
The Case of Rental Shelter, 1914-2003
Presented at CRIW Conference in Memory of Zvi Griliches, Hard-to-Measure Goods and Services, September 19-20, 2003.
Revised, July 2004.
In
E. Berndt and C. Hulten, eds., Hard-to-Measure Goods and Services: Essays in Honor of Zvi Griliches, Conference
on Research in Income and Wealth (Chicago: University of Chicago Press for NBER), forthcoming.
NBER Working Paper 11776, November 2005.
Apparel Prices and Hulten/Bruegel Paradox
Presented at CRIW Conference on Price Index Concepts and Measurement, June 28-29, 2004.
Revised, June 2004.
In C. Corrado, E. Diewert, and C. Hulten, eds.,
Price Index Concepts and Measurement, Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (Chicago: University of
Chicago Press for NBER), forthcoming.
NBER Working Paper 11548, August 2005.
Five Puzzles in the Behavior of
Productivity, Investment, and Innovation
Version of March 31, 2004
In Augusto Lopez-Claros and
Xavier Sala-i-Martin, eds., The Global Competitiveness Report 2003-04. New York and Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 2004, pp. 117-35. CEPR Discussion Paper 4414, June 2004, and NBER Working Paper 10662, August
2004.
Why was Europe Left at the Station When America's Productivity Locomotive Departed?
Presented at
DEMPATEM conference, Seville, Spain, October 18, 2003. CEPR Discussion Paper 4416, June 2004,
NBER Working Paper 10661, August, 2004.
version of March 31, 2004
Two Centuries of Economic Growth:
Europe Chasing the American Frontier
Presented at AEA meetings,
Atlanta, January 2002 and the Northwestern Economic History workshop, October, 2002. Revised version
CEPR Discussion Paper 4415, June 2004, NBER Working Paper 10662, August 2004.
version of March 30, 2004
Exploding Productivity Growth: Context, Causes, and Implications
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity
vol. 34 (2003, no. 2), pp. 207-298
Hi-tech Innovation and Productivity Growth:
Does Supply Create Its Own Demand?
NBER Working Paper 9437, January 2003.
Inflation and Unemployment in the New Economy: Is the Trade-off Dead or Alive?
Prepared for the Workshop on The Phillips Curve: New Theory and Evidence
Trade Union Institute For Economic Research, Stockholm, Sweden, May 25-26, 2002
Technological Innovation and Economic Performance
Chapter 3: The United States
in Richard Nelson, Benn Steil,
and David Victor, eds., Technological Innovation and Economic Performance, Princeton: Princeton University Press,
2002, pp. 49-73.
French translation: "La technologie et les succès de l'èconomie amèricaine," in Jean-Philippe Touffut et al.,
Institutions et Croissance: Les chances d'un modële èconomique europèen. Paris: Albin Michel, 2002, pp. 279-326.
Recent Productivity Puzzles in the Context of
Zvi Griliches' Research
Paper presented to meetings of the American Economic Association
January 5, 2002
Local Indexes of Apartment Rent and House Sale Prices
January, 2001, report on preliminary research progress.
Does the "New Economy" Measure up to the Great Inventions of the Past? (published version)
Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol.4, no.14 (Fall 2000), pp. 49-74.
CEPR Discussion Paper 2607, November 2000, NBER Working Paper 7833, August 2000.
Interpreting the "One Big Wave" in U. S. Long-term Productivity Growth (published version)
Pusblished in Bart van Ark, Simon Duipers, and Gerard Kuper, eds.,
Productivity, Technology, and Economic Growth, Kluwer
Publishers, 2000, pp.19-65.
CEPR Discussion Paper 2608, November 2000, NBER Working Paper 7752, June 2000.
U. S. Economic Growth Since 1870: One Big Wave?
American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings
vol. 89
(May 1999), pp. 123-8.
The Boskin Commission Report and its Aftermath
Paper presented at Conference on the Measurement of Inflation
Cardiff Business School, Cardiff, Wales
September 1, 1999
In Monetary and Economic Studies, vol. 17, no. 3 (December
1999), pp. 41-68.
NBER Working Paper 7759, June 2000.
Has the "New Economy"
Rendered the Productivity Slowdown Obsolete?
Version of June 14, 1999.
Hub and Network Pricing in the Northwest Airlines Domestic System
(with Darryl Jenkins), George
Washington University working paper, September 1999.
Foundations of the Goldilocks Economy: Supply Shocks and the Time-Varying NAIRU (published version)
in Brookings Papers on Economic Activity ,no.2 (1998), pp. 297-346.
NBER Working Paper Reprint 7759, August 1999.
Programming Code (RATS)
Data Files
The Aftermath of the 1992 ERM Breakup:
Was There a Macroeconomic Free Lunch?(published version)
in Currency Crises edited by Paul Krugman,
University of Chicago Press for NBER, 2000, pp. 241-284.
CEPR Discussion Paper No.
2073, February 1999, NBER working paper 6964, February 1999.